Home
Call For Papers
Submission
Author
Registration
Publications
About
Contact Us

  Small Area Estimation in Estimating Unemployment Rate in Bogor District of Sampled and Non-Sampled Areas UsingA Calibration Modeling Approach  
  Authors : Siti Aprizkiyandari; Anang Kurnia; Indahwati
  Cite as:

 

The main problem in Indonesia is unemployment. There are some various government policies to resolve unemployment, such as the availability of statistical data in unemployment. The National Labor Survey conducted by the Statistics Indonesia (BPS) only generates estimates at the national levels, whereas to carry out various government policies requires the availability of unemployment information to smaller levels. The Small Area Estimation (SAE) method is one of the solutions to estimate small area without adds sampling units. The method is borrowing strength from nearby observation sample areas. The study focused on estimating unemployment rate in Bogor sub-district level using Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) method with calibration approach. The results of the proposed method can produce the same result as published by BPS and are able to generate the result to sub-district level.

 

Published In : IJCSN Journal Volume 6, Issue 6

Date of Publication : December 2017

Pages : 760-765

Figures :01

Tables : 07

 

S. Aprizkiyandari : graduate student in Department of Statistics, Bogor Agricultural University. Her main interest is on statistical modeling.

Dr. A. Kurnia : Currently worked as a senior lecturer and Head of Department of Statistics, Bogor Agricultural University. His main interest are on small area estimation and statistical modeling.

Indahwati : Currently worked as a lecturer and Head of Program of Applied Statistics, Bogor Agricultural University. Her main interests are on small area estimation and statistical modeling.

 

Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMM), Calibration modeling approach, Clustering analysis

Overall, the best calibration modeling for the unemployment rate is proportional to sub-district level and the unemployment rate at a district level. The result shows the calibration modeling is 10.26% and the result is BPS result that is 10.01%. Using the method can also generate predictions for the sub-district level.

 

[1] Annisa R, “Kajian Pengaruh Penambahan Informasi Gerombol terhadap Hasil Prediksi Area Nircontoh (Studi Kasus Pengeluaran per Kapita Kecamatan di Kota dan Kabupaten Bogor)”, Tesis, Bogor Agriculture University. [2] Gonzalez ME. “Use and Evaluation of Synthetic Estimators”, in Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section. 1973, 33-36. [3] Hanike Y, “Post Stratification sampling in Small Area Estimation (SAE) Model for Unemployment Rate Estimation by Bayes Approach, in .Proceedings of The 7th SEAMS UGM International Conference of Mathematics and Its Application 2015. 2015, doi 10.1063/1.4940876. [4] Harsanti R, “Penerapan Metode Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Prediction pada Model Small Area Estimation dalam Pendugaan Tingkat Pengangguran di Kota Bogor”, Skripsi, Bogor Agriculture University. [5] Hill,CM. Methods and Guidlines for Effective Model for Calibration. Colorado: US. Geological Survey, 1998. [6] Longford NT. "Missing Data and Small Area Estimation: Modern Analytical Equipment for the Survey Statistician.” Springer. New York, 2005. [7] Stroup WW. “Generalized Linear Mixed Models: Modern Concepts,Methods and Applications”. Chapman and Hall. New York, 2013.